BRINCISSTAN!

Belarus, Russia, Iran, North Korea, China, Iraq, Syria and the Stans! With North Korea (NK) now being brought into the fold, with what looks like a quite deep alliance with Russia, the new BRINCISSTAN stretches from the border of Israel to the border of South Korea. The latter now knows that its neighbour has the backing of Russia, aligning the large NK military industrial complex with that of Russia, and must be careful in how much it aligns with its US “friends”. This move will also concern the Japanese, who now may possibly have the arsenal of North Korea aimed at it if it facilitates any US military aggression against China.

Donald Trump must be slapping his forehead, if only he could have brought NK into the US fold this major geopolitical alignment would not be taking place (he tells himself)! Instead, the usual arrogance and intransigence of the US state has delivered another nation into the Eurasia-dominating alliance. NK only developed nuclear weapons because it felt threatened by a US that had never ended its state of war with it and would immediately escalate demands whenever any concession was provided by NK.

The roles of the “good cop” China and “bad cop” Russia come more into focus. China is playing the long game of slowly but surely undermining the Western technology, supply chain, and financial dominance through which the West sucks the value added out of other nations; weakening the West day by day while never providing an excuse for escalation into either deeper sanctions or war. It even went along with the Western sanctions against North Korea. Russia, now becoming more and more closely aligned with Iran and North Korea, provides the added muscle to deter any US aggression against China and also to geographically limit the vectors for that aggression. The West has threatened Russia and North Korea with further sanctions but given the already in place level of sanctions that is a pretty meaningless threat; Western sanctions and the two nations’ nuclear arsenals have freed them to do very much as they please. At the same time, Russia provides a cornucopia of natural resources to nullify any Western attempt to blockade China. Russia is also playing its own game to provide some independence from Chinese dominance, through its close relationship with India as well as those with Belarus, Iran, North Korea and the Stans.

Perhaps within a year, what is now Western Ukraine up to the Dniepr and the southern coast to Romania and Moldova will become part of Russia while what remains becomes a demilitarized rump. Biden’s four years will have become a foreign policy disaster; the retreat from Afghanistan, the tightening alignment between Russia, Iran and North Korea, the Rest of the World’s rejection of Western sanctions against Russia, the breaking out of peace and cooperation between Saudi Arabia and Iran - brokered by Russia and China, the loss of Ethiopia, and the loss of the south and west of Ukraine. If the US foreign policy establishment does not quickly relearn diplomacy and compromise, the following four years may be much worse – perhaps the loss of Turkey and Georgia to BRINCISSTAN together with much of sub-Saharan Africa, while Europe descends into a deepening economic crisis and deindustrialization.

Just by looking at a map, one can see that Turkey is a pivotal player and its loss to BRINCISSTAN would be devastating for Western influence in the region. It is truly a pivotal domino, and it is incredible that the West is not falling over itself to bring Turkey into the fold. Instead, it keeps the country waiting at the altar of EU marriage like a jilted bride, attempts to overthrow its leader, targets it with damaging economic and financial weapons, and publicly treats it like an unruly child. The most recent set of US sanctions against Russia specifically target Turkey. This is not diplomacy; it is blind arrogant idiocy. This arrogance knows no bounds, as the US forces Iraq to place its oil revenues in an account overseen by the US Treasury; an account which holds over US$100 billion of Iraq’s money, a truly neocolonial arrangement. The last thing the West should want is for BRINCISSTAN to become BRINCISSTTAN.

A wild card will be if Russia can establish a land bridge to Hungary, perhaps including Hungary taking the area of Zakarpattia/Carpathia which is predominantly ethnic Hungarian. It will be hard for the Hungarians to resist given how badly the ethnic Hungarians have been treated by the Ukrainian ethno-nationalists, as it will be for the Polish not to at least take Lviv, Lutsk, and Ivano-Frankivsk (with some backdoor agreement with the Russians). There may not be much left to call Ukraine after the Russian victory. As well as pressurizing Moldova to “play nice”, and removing the Ukrainian/Romanian border, Russia would then have a land connection with Serbia via Hungary; all the while with the Western elites going out of their way to insult, bully and alienate the Hungarian leadership.

This would reopen the whole question of the division of Yugoslavia and make Bulgaria into a critical nation. If Bulgaria went over to BRINCISSTAN, Romania may become surrounded by Russian allies. As Western Europe is seen to be in deep and irretrievable decline while becoming more aggressive toward China as an obedient US vassal (a position greatly at odds with its own citizen’s wishes), will the Eastern European and Balkan nations want to go with the tide of history or against it? Once the rot sets in with the leadership of the EU (Germany and France), it may be surprising how fast the EU falls apart. Especially if the US is in the midst of its own economic and financial crisis.

While this foreign policy disaster unfolds the US Secretary of State shows that he has learnt nothing with his latest speech. The US Mafia-State arrogance, ignorance and incompetence truly knows no bounds.